Denver’s Multifamily Rollercoaster: From Oversupply to a Severe Shortage
Right now, Denver is experiencing a temporary oversupply of multifamily units, with elevated vacancy rates and softening rents. But that relief won’t last long. By 2025, the market will flip as new supply dries up and demand outpaces deliveries.
Here's the outlook:
2025: ~7,500 units projected (down from the 9,000-10,000 average)
2026: ~5,000 units projected
2027: Even fewer
Even more concerning—construction starts are down by 50%, meaning the development pipeline is collapsing. We can’t approve projects or build fast enough to make up the difference.
What does this mean?
The current oversupply will burn off by late 2025
Rents will rebound sharply as demand outstrips supply
Affordability pressures will return—likely worse than before
How do we prevent a long-term crisis?
Streamline approvals so projects can break ground faster
Incentivize new development with tax abatements & public-private partnerships
Push for zoning reforms that allow higher density & mixed-use projects
Attract capital back to multifamily with creative financing structures